← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.01+5.78vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College2.49+6.86vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.05+3.59vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.03+6.33vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.22+4.65vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.52vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.56vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.21+1.68vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.03vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin2.12+0.34vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.54-2.39vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.97-0.93vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.56-4.80vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.30-4.89vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.23-5.36vs Predicted
-
16Santa Clara University0.59-0.83vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.58-8.55vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University-0.22-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.78Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
8.86Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.59Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.33Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
9.65Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
-
6.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.68University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
-
9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.34University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.61Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
11.07Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
8.2Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
9.11Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
15.17Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.45University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
16.53Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Madison Gates | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kate Klement | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 31.8% | 25.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 18.5% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.