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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+7.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+4.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.23+6.98vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+4.33vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.22+4.64vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.97+4.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.10vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.21+1.73vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.58vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.32vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-4.47vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-3.31vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.03-2.68vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.30-4.88vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.12-4.94vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-7.65vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University0.59-1.75vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-0.22-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.73Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.64Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
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10.76Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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9.73University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.53Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.32Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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15.25Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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16.51Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Lynn | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Madison Gates | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Kate Klement | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 35.2% | 26.1% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 16.5% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.