← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.21+8.99vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.62vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.97+8.03vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.03+6.34vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.46vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.49+2.63vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.30+2.37vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.01-1.48vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.08vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.05-3.37vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.58-2.60vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.56-3.29vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.22-3.43vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin2.12-4.20vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.54-6.60vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.23-6.24vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University-0.22-0.31vs Predicted
-
18Santa Clara University0.59-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.99University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
-
6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
11.03Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
10.34Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
6.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.63Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.37Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
6.52Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
6.63Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.4University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
8.71Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
9.57Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
-
9.8University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.4Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
9.76University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
16.69Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
15.0Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Gates | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Kate Klement | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 16.9% | 64.4% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 32.3% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.