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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+5.46vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.97+8.82vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.54+5.50vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.21+5.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+1.37vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.12+2.88vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.23+0.45vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.73+1.70vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.03-0.53vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.40vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.30-3.91vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.22-4.78vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-6.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-7.07vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University0.59-1.88vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-0.22-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.82Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.42University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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6.37Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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8.1Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.7Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.47Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.22Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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15.12Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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16.48Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Madison Gates | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 32.5% | 25.7% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 18.4% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.