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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.78vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.97+9.02vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.22+7.07vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.12+6.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+3.51vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.21+3.87vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30+2.44vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-1.33vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23+0.02vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.73+0.77vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.00vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.03-2.61vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.66vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.05-8.49vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-7.55vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University0.59-1.81vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-0.22-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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11.02Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.07Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.87University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.39Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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15.19Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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16.5Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 16.3% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Kate Klement | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Madison Gates | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 4.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 32.8% | 25.5% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 18.8% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.