← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.01+5.90vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.84vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin2.12+7.38vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.60vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.30+4.47vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.54+2.61vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.05-0.39vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.97+2.59vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.48vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.220.00vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.73+0.77vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.23-1.84vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.03-2.66vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.56-5.80vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida2.21-5.20vs Predicted
-
16Santa Clara University0.59-0.83vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.58-8.46vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University-0.22-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.9Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
10.38University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
-
6.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.47Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
8.61Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.61Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.59Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
4.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
-
10.0Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
-
11.77Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
10.16University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
10.34Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
8.2Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
9.8University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
-
15.17Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.54University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
16.5Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.7% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Madison Gates | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 32.2% | 25.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 17.4% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.