← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.03+9.65vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University0.59+13.38vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.70vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.05+2.51vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida2.21+4.75vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin2.12+4.23vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.30+2.51vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.56+0.40vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.40vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.20vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.54-2.25vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.97-0.96vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.01-6.40vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.22-4.51vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.58-6.68vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.23-6.08vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College1.73-5.15vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University-0.22-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.65Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
15.38Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
4.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
-
6.51Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.75University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
-
10.23University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
-
9.51Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
8.4Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.75Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
11.04Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
6.6Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.49Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
-
8.32University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.92University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
11.85Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
16.51Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 33.3% | 24.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.2% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madison Gates | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Kate Klement | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 17.0% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.