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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+5.92vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.84vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.54+5.72vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+2.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.40vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30+3.51vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.12+3.14vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.48vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.97+1.74vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.22+0.07vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.03-0.35vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.73-0.08vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-4.75vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.23-4.49vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.21-5.19vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University0.59-0.83vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.56-8.42vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-0.22-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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6.52Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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6.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.74Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.07Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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10.65Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.92Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.81University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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15.17Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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16.53Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 19.0% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Kate Klement | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 4.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Madison Gates | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 31.2% | 24.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 18.4% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.