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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Wesleyan University1.45+1.54vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.35+0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.13-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.35-2.18vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.53-1.66vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University0.12-2.01vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.92vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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3.8Middlebury College1.350.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.82University of New Hampshire1.350.2%1st Place
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5.34Maine Maritime Academy0.530.1%1st Place
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5.99Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.2%1st Place
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5.18Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 19.3% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Terry Duncan | 16.4% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 7.3% |
| William Dykes | 15.9% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 19.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 37.6% |
| George Luber | 15.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% |
| John Zupkus | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.