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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Middlebury College1.35+1.71vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.45+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.35-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.13-0.77vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.93vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-2.74vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.53-3.62vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Middlebury College1.350.2%1st Place
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3.59Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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3.78University of New Hampshire1.350.2%1st Place
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4.23University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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4.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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5.26Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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5.38Maine Maritime Academy0.530.1%1st Place
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5.97Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Duncan | 17.3% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 18.8% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| William Dykes | 17.4% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% |
| George Luber | 13.5% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| John Zupkus | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 20.7% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 21.8% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.