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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University1.45+2.54vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.13+2.21vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.35-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.35-2.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.94vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.53-2.70vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.12-2.89vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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4.21University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.79Middlebury College1.350.2%1st Place
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3.83University of New Hampshire1.350.2%1st Place
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4.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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5.3Maine Maritime Academy0.530.1%1st Place
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6.11Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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5.16Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 19.1% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 6.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 17.6% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| William Dykes | 15.8% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| George Luber | 13.4% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 21.6% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 39.8% |
| John Zupkus | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.