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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Middlebury College1.35+1.70vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.45+0.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.13-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.35-3.20vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-2.72vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.53-3.61vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Middlebury College1.350.2%1st Place
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3.59Wesleyan University1.450.2%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.2%1st Place
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4.24University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.8University of New Hampshire1.350.2%1st Place
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5.28Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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5.39Maine Maritime Academy0.530.1%1st Place
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5.96Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Duncan | 17.7% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 18.9% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| George Luber | 15.2% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 7.3% |
| William Dykes | 15.5% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| John Zupkus | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 21.0% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 21.7% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.