← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.57vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College0.24+3.38vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.78+0.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Connecticut1.93-2.43vs Predicted
-
6Wesleyan University0.55-1.23vs Predicted
-
7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.80vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.29-2.74vs Predicted
-
10Sacred Heart University-0.86-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
-
5.38Middlebury College0.240.1%1st Place
-
4.38University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
-
2.57University of Connecticut1.930.3%1st Place
-
4.77Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
-
4.2Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
-
5.26Maine Maritime Academy0.290.1%1st Place
-
6.87Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Adam | 30.2% | 24.7% | 21.7% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 15.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Fuller | 29.6% | 27.7% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 6.8% |
| Benjamin Eley | 10.7% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Steven Bell | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 21.3% | 13.4% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 18.5% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.