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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.78+2.41vs Predicted
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3Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+1.26vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-0.86+2.89vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.24-0.70vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University0.55-2.23vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.29-2.74vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.93-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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4.41University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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4.26Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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6.89Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.3Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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4.77Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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5.26Maine Maritime Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Connecticut1.930.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Adam | 27.4% | 30.3% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 10.0% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 4.5% |
| Benjamin Eley | 10.8% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 4.4% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 57.3% |
| Jade Forsberg | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 11.7% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 8.4% |
| Steven Bell | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 21.3% | 13.4% |
| Sarah Fuller | 31.8% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.