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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+1.75vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.52+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.78+1.71vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+0.56vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.29+0.50vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.15vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University0.55-1.88vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.86-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of Connecticut1.930.3%1st Place
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3.46Middlebury College1.520.2%1st Place
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4.71University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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4.56Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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5.5Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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2.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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5.12Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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7.05Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 27.8% | 22.7% | 20.3% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 17.3% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 6.1% |
| Benjamin Eley | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 6.1% |
| Steven Bell | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 23.9% | 15.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 25.1% | 24.0% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 9.9% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 17.0% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.