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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University0.55+4.07vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.78+2.73vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.93-0.22vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.52-0.55vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-0.42vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.19vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.29-3.45vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.86-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.73University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
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2.78University of Connecticut1.930.3%1st Place
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3.45Middlebury College1.520.2%1st Place
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4.58Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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2.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
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5.55Maine Maritime Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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7.04Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 9.5% |
| Emmet Todd | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 7.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 27.2% | 23.3% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ben Brown | 16.9% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Eley | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 4.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 26.4% | 24.1% | 18.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Steven Bell | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 25.0% | 16.6% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 16.9% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.