← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.81vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College1.52+0.46vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.78+0.71vs Predicted
-
5University of Connecticut1.93-2.17vs Predicted
-
6Sacred Heart University-0.86+1.10vs Predicted
-
7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.47vs Predicted
-
8Wesleyan University0.55-2.87vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy0.29-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.3%1st Place
-
3.46Middlebury College1.520.2%1st Place
-
4.71University of New Hampshire0.780.1%1st Place
-
2.83University of Connecticut1.930.3%1st Place
-
7.1Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
4.53Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
-
5.13Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
-
5.43Maine Maritime Academy0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Adam | 26.1% | 23.7% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ben Brown | 16.7% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Fuller | 26.2% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 62.6% |
| Benjamin Eley | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 5.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 10.8% |
| Steven Bell | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.