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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.54vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.59+2.00vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.25+3.32vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.87+1.04vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.82-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.06-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.39+0.27vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.93-0.11vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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4.0Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.32Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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5.04University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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3.4Christopher Newport University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.79University of Pennsylvania1.060.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.89Syracuse University-0.930.0%1st Place
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3.75Columbia University1.650.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 32.4% | 24.0% | 19.5% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 25.5% | 9.9% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Anders Hudson | 20.3% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Egan | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Evan Shone | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 30.5% | 29.8% |
| Kevin McCandless | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 54.5% |
| Adam DeVita | 15.1% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.