← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30+2.64vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University-0.11+2.59vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University-0.20+1.72vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.99+2.21vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-1.09+1.36vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas-0.67-0.31vs Predicted
-
7University of Texas-0.50-1.69vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.80-2.17vs Predicted
-
9Rice University0.94-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3018.9%1st Place
-
4.59Clemson University-0.1110.7%1st Place
-
4.72Texas A&M University-0.2010.0%1st Place
-
6.21Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.995.2%1st Place
-
6.36Northwestern University-1.094.1%1st Place
-
5.69University of Texas-0.676.0%1st Place
-
5.31University of Texas-0.508.9%1st Place
-
5.83Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.806.3%1st Place
-
2.66Rice University0.9429.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Carew | 18.9% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Neil Bunce | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Drew Gourley | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Jack Meyer | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 23.1% |
| Millie Rose Taub | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 26.2% |
| Kate Lyon | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.8% |
| Rohit Rajan | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% |
| Isabella Mattison | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 15.7% |
| Joe Slipper | 29.8% | 25.4% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.