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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.54vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.59+2.00vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.65+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.87+1.08vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.82-1.59vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.25+0.24vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.06-2.17vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.93-0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.39-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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4.0Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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3.76Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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3.41Christopher Newport University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.24Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Pennsylvania1.060.1%1st Place
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7.92Syracuse University-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 32.1% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 10.8% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Adam DeVita | 15.0% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Anders Hudson | 19.9% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 23.2% | 22.2% | 10.5% |
| Joseph Egan | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Kevin McCandless | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 20.6% | 55.4% |
| Evan Shone | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 16.5% | 32.3% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.