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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.55vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.25+4.46vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.82+0.50vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.59-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.06-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.87-0.86vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.65-3.24vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.93-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.39-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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6.46Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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3.5Christopher Newport University1.820.2%1st Place
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3.78Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Pennsylvania1.060.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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3.76Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.87Syracuse University-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 32.6% | 25.4% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 24.6% | 22.4% | 12.7% |
| Anders Hudson | 16.9% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 14.8% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Egan | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 2.8% |
| Adam DeVita | 14.3% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kevin McCandless | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 20.2% | 54.4% |
| Evan Shone | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 16.1% | 32.5% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.