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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.06+3.01vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.82+0.51vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.25+2.18vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.59-1.21vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65-2.30vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.87-1.81vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.39-0.81vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.93-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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5.01University of Pennsylvania1.060.1%1st Place
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3.51Christopher Newport University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.18Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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3.79Villanova University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.7Columbia University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.89Syracuse University-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 32.2% | 25.7% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Anders Hudson | 17.4% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 10.6% |
| Domenic Re | 15.2% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Adam DeVita | 15.1% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 10.8% | 2.9% |
| Evan Shone | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 30.3% | 28.6% |
| Kevin McCandless | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 9.5% | 22.1% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.