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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.06+3.01vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.59+0.91vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.65-0.35vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.82-1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.87-0.87vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.93+0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.39-0.80vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.25-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
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5.01University of Pennsylvania1.060.1%1st Place
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3.91Villanova University1.590.1%1st Place
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3.65Columbia University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.39Christopher Newport University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.13University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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7.95Syracuse University-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.22Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 31.6% | 25.7% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Domenic Re | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 16.1% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Anders Hudson | 19.9% | 21.3% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 7.3% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 2.6% |
| Kevin McCandless | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 20.5% | 56.4% |
| Evan Shone | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 31.7% | 27.7% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 23.2% | 22.9% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.