← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Buffalo2.44+1.54vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.82+1.59vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University1.65+0.77vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.06+0.73vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University1.59-1.20vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-0.93+1.89vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland0.87-1.83vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware-0.39-0.75vs Predicted
-
9Ocean County College0.25-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.54University of Buffalo2.440.3%1st Place
-
3.59Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
-
3.77Columbia University1.650.2%1st Place
-
4.73University of Pennsylvania1.060.1%1st Place
-
3.8Villanova University1.590.2%1st Place
-
7.89Syracuse University-0.930.0%1st Place
-
5.17University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
-
7.25University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
-
6.25Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 33.0% | 23.8% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 13.5% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Adam DeVita | 15.3% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Domenic Re | 15.4% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Kevin McCandless | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 21.9% | 53.5% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 9.9% | 3.0% |
| Evan Shone | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 15.6% | 30.7% | 29.7% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 21.9% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.