Race 1B

occ-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Caroline Garth 24.8% 23.2% 20.2% 15.0% 9.2% 4.9% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
David Alldian 15.3% 19.6% 18.4% 19.1% 13.4% 8.3% 4.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 31.3% 25.6% 18.6% 12.6% 7.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Fagundo 6.2% 7.3% 9.6% 11.3% 19.0% 18.6% 17.9% 8.8% 1.3%
Alexandra Stapienski 2.3% 3.0% 5.0% 6.4% 10.0% 13.0% 21.9% 28.2% 10.2%
Rory Mess 12.0% 13.3% 16.6% 18.8% 16.0% 13.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.0%
Kevin Johnson 5.4% 4.5% 7.2% 11.2% 14.3% 23.5% 18.7% 13.1% 2.1%
Martha Diezemann 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 4.8% 8.8% 12.4% 20.6% 34.0% 10.7%
Dimitri Skambas 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 2.5% 6.0% 11.4% 75.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.