Race 2B

occ-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Alldian 17.1% 19.2% 19.0% 19.2% 12.7% 8.1% 3.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Caroline Garth 21.3% 22.8% 21.8% 15.8% 10.7% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Rory Mess 10.1% 14.1% 17.9% 17.7% 15.7% 15.1% 7.1% 2.0% 0.3%
Kevin Johnson 5.2% 6.2% 8.8% 11.6% 17.3% 18.1% 17.8% 13.1% 1.9%
Amanda Attardi 35.2% 23.4% 16.6% 12.6% 7.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Fagundo 5.8% 7.5% 8.8% 12.5% 17.9% 19.6% 17.3% 9.5% 1.1%
Alexandra Stapienski 2.4% 3.3% 2.9% 4.7% 9.1% 14.8% 23.1% 31.4% 8.3%
Martha Diezemann 2.6% 2.5% 3.6% 4.3% 7.7% 13.2% 22.4% 31.5% 12.2%
Dimitri Skambas 0.3% 1.0% 0.6% 1.6% 1.0% 2.8% 5.4% 11.1% 76.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.