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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.15+2.33vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.05+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.75-0.13vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71-2.49vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.11-0.62vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.81-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.95-1.30vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.58-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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5.37Columbia University0.050.0%1st Place
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2.84University of Pennsylvania1.490.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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2.51Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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5.38University of Maryland-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.57Ocean County College-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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8.43Syracuse University-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alldian | 17.4% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Fagundo | 4.7% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Garth | 23.9% | 23.7% | 21.1% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 12.2% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Attardi | 31.9% | 26.0% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnson | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 10.4% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Stapienski | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 25.8% | 30.8% | 7.9% |
| Martha Diezemann | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 32.6% | 11.8% |
| Dimitri Skambas | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 11.8% | 75.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.