Race 4B

occ-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Alldian 18.1% 17.9% 19.2% 17.5% 14.5% 8.0% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Rory Mess 8.8% 13.5% 15.4% 20.1% 17.3% 14.0% 7.3% 3.3% 0.3%
Amanda Attardi 30.7% 26.2% 18.6% 12.6% 8.6% 2.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Caroline Garth 27.2% 22.4% 20.2% 16.7% 8.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Fagundo 5.2% 8.3% 10.7% 13.8% 15.3% 20.1% 14.7% 10.0% 1.9%
Alexandra Stapienski 2.4% 2.4% 4.5% 5.6% 9.3% 14.3% 24.2% 29.8% 7.5%
Kevin Johnson 4.5% 5.7% 7.6% 8.8% 15.7% 23.1% 20.4% 11.5% 2.7%
Martha Diezemann 2.6% 2.7% 3.0% 4.3% 9.1% 11.9% 22.1% 32.9% 11.4%
Dimitri Skambas 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 2.1% 2.4% 5.2% 11.3% 76.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.