Race 5B

occ-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Alldian 18.1% 18.5% 18.5% 17.9% 13.4% 9.5% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Caroline Garth 21.0% 23.8% 21.0% 16.4% 9.9% 5.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 32.1% 24.8% 17.0% 14.4% 7.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Fagundo 6.0% 6.8% 10.5% 12.1% 17.9% 19.6% 16.5% 9.1% 1.5%
Rory Mess 11.9% 16.2% 15.5% 17.4% 16.5% 11.3% 7.4% 3.4% 0.4%
Alexandra Stapienski 2.6% 2.3% 5.2% 5.9% 8.0% 14.6% 23.5% 29.0% 8.9%
Kevin Johnson 5.0% 4.8% 7.1% 11.0% 17.9% 20.0% 19.7% 12.6% 1.9%
Dimitri Skambas 0.9% 0.3% 1.0% 0.4% 1.5% 4.3% 3.7% 11.9% 76.0%
Martha Diezemann 2.4% 2.5% 4.2% 4.5% 7.0% 12.6% 22.9% 32.6% 11.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.