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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.15+2.40vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.71+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.11+1.34vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.05+0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo0.75-2.02vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.81-0.45vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.58+0.45vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.95-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.68Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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2.84University of Pennsylvania1.490.3%1st Place
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5.34University of Maryland-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.07Columbia University0.050.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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6.55Ocean County College-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.45Syracuse University-2.580.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alldian | 18.5% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 26.2% | 27.6% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 26.2% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnson | 5.4% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 12.3% | 1.5% |
| Michael Fagundo | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| Rory Mess | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Stapienski | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 25.4% | 29.3% | 8.6% |
| Dimitri Skambas | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 11.5% | 75.9% |
| Martha Diezemann | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 32.5% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.