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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kevin Johnson 5.7% 4.5% 8.1% 11.9% 17.2% 21.3% 20.6% 9.5% 1.2%
Amanda Attardi 28.3% 25.7% 19.4% 14.1% 7.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
David Alldian 17.1% 19.5% 19.2% 17.9% 14.5% 8.3% 3.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Alexandra Stapienski 2.3% 3.9% 3.7% 7.3% 10.0% 17.0% 28.0% 22.0% 5.8%
Rory Mess 12.7% 15.7% 17.7% 15.8% 16.7% 13.0% 6.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Caroline Garth 26.4% 21.8% 21.3% 15.6% 9.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Fagundo 5.8% 6.5% 8.7% 13.1% 18.8% 23.2% 16.3% 6.7% 0.9%
Calyn O'Connell 1.4% 1.4% 1.1% 3.4% 3.7% 5.9% 17.7% 39.5% 25.9%
Dimitri Skambas 0.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.9% 3.5% 5.9% 19.8% 65.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.