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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.11+4.31vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.71+0.63vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+0.33vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College-0.81+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.75-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.49-3.22vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.05-1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.71-0.52vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.58-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of Maryland-0.110.1%1st Place
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2.63Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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3.33Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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6.27Ocean County College-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.83University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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2.78University of Pennsylvania1.490.3%1st Place
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5.06Columbia University0.050.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
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8.32Syracuse University-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Johnson | 5.7% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 20.6% | 9.5% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 28.3% | 25.7% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 17.1% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Stapienski | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 28.0% | 22.0% | 5.8% |
| Rory Mess | 12.7% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Garth | 26.4% | 21.8% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Fagundo | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 16.3% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 17.7% | 39.5% | 25.9% |
| Dimitri Skambas | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 19.8% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.