Race 8B

occ-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Alldian 17.4% 20.0% 20.3% 17.2% 15.0% 6.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Kevin Johnson 3.8% 4.5% 7.9% 11.0% 16.9% 22.9% 22.2% 8.6% 2.2%
Amanda Attardi 30.5% 26.1% 19.7% 13.8% 7.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Rory Mess 11.4% 14.6% 17.5% 19.3% 18.1% 13.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Caroline Garth 26.9% 24.5% 18.0% 15.8% 8.5% 4.6% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Stapienski 2.4% 2.4% 4.8% 5.9% 10.2% 17.5% 29.4% 22.6% 4.8%
Dimitri Skambas 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 2.5% 2.8% 6.1% 19.8% 66.4%
Calyn O'Connell 1.2% 1.0% 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 7.4% 16.0% 40.6% 25.3%
Michael Fagundo 5.9% 6.6% 9.3% 13.2% 17.9% 22.3% 17.1% 6.6% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.