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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.71+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo0.75+2.07vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.49-1.31vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.05-0.09vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-0.81+0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.11-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.71-0.50vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.58-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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4.07University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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3.32Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.69University of Pennsylvania1.490.3%1st Place
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4.91Columbia University0.050.1%1st Place
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6.34Ocean County College-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Maryland-0.110.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Delaware-1.710.0%1st Place
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8.31Syracuse University-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Attardi | 30.4% | 28.1% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| David Alldian | 18.6% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Garth | 27.2% | 23.5% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Fagundo | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 21.7% | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Stapienski | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 32.5% | 21.9% | 5.1% |
| Kevin Johnson | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 24.6% | 19.7% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Calyn O'Connell | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 15.7% | 40.5% | 26.1% |
| Dimitri Skambas | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 19.7% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.