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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+0.60vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.94+0.36vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-0.03+0.40vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.81+0.32vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.51-0.94vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.68-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Fordham University1.870.6%1st Place
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2.36SUNY Stony Brook0.940.2%1st Place
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3.4Sacred Heart University-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.32Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.06Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Military Academy-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 58.0% | 28.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 24.6% | 35.3% | 24.8% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| William Herlihy | 9.3% | 15.5% | 26.5% | 27.6% | 17.1% | 4.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 2.9% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 22.3% | 32.3% | 19.7% |
| Haley Collins | 4.1% | 9.8% | 18.6% | 26.5% | 25.5% | 15.5% |
| Kurt Adams | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 20.6% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.