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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+0.59vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.94+0.37vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.81+1.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-1.68+1.22vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.51-0.90vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-0.03-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Fordham University1.870.6%1st Place
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2.37SUNY Stony Brook0.940.2%1st Place
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4.27Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Military Academy-1.680.0%1st Place
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4.1Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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3.45Sacred Heart University-0.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 58.8% | 27.3% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 24.2% | 35.1% | 24.5% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 4.3% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 21.6% | 33.0% | 18.8% |
| Kurt Adams | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 59.5% |
| Haley Collins | 4.3% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 25.5% | 27.2% | 16.3% |
| William Herlihy | 7.3% | 15.4% | 29.0% | 26.5% | 17.2% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.