Race 4A

fall-fury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lorenzo Puertas 22.4% 19.0% 15.8% 13.3% 10.0% 7.5% 5.1% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Chesemore 7.5% 6.9% 6.4% 7.8% 8.9% 7.8% 9.6% 10.9% 12.3% 11.2% 6.4% 3.8% 0.4%
Scott Mather 11.8% 12.0% 13.1% 11.1% 10.8% 10.0% 9.2% 8.3% 6.3% 4.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Quinn Kaiser 11.1% 11.9% 10.3% 11.8% 11.3% 10.3% 9.8% 8.8% 7.3% 4.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Lucas Nykamp 10.6% 9.3% 10.1% 10.4% 10.3% 9.6% 10.2% 10.7% 8.2% 5.5% 4.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Greg Bittle 7.5% 7.0% 8.5% 8.5% 9.3% 10.0% 10.8% 8.9% 10.2% 9.2% 7.5% 2.2% 0.4%
Andrew Wiand 11.2% 10.4% 10.8% 11.2% 10.9% 11.1% 8.9% 8.8% 7.8% 4.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Wyatt Tait 6.7% 7.5% 8.0% 7.2% 8.6% 9.0% 9.5% 10.5% 10.8% 11.5% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6%
Nigel Yu 4.3% 5.5% 6.6% 7.4% 7.0% 9.4% 8.6% 10.1% 11.2% 12.3% 10.4% 5.8% 1.2%
Hayden Johansen 1.8% 2.9% 4.2% 3.5% 3.8% 4.8% 6.1% 6.2% 8.3% 12.8% 20.5% 18.3% 7.0%
Brian Zettlemoyer 4.0% 5.6% 4.8% 5.6% 6.4% 7.2% 9.2% 8.6% 9.2% 14.5% 13.9% 8.8% 2.3%
Patrick Gardiner 0.7% 1.1% 0.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 4.0% 5.5% 12.2% 30.5% 36.6%
Nathaniel Bacheller 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 4.2% 8.6% 24.6% 51.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.