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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+7.06vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College4.15+4.31vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.92+4.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+7.00vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.33+0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.34-0.15vs Predicted
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7Washington College4.25-0.89vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida4.10-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.59-0.69vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-1.43vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.54-2.44vs Predicted
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12Clemson University2.34+0.43vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin4.10-6.51vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.24-4.46vs Predicted
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16University of Texas2.50-3.80vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.14-3.86vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-10.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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6.31SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.13Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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5.84Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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6.11Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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6.45University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island3.590.1%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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8.56Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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12.43Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.54Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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13.14Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.13Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mike Warren | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.