Race 17B

navy-spring-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Sara Morgan Watters 17.6% 15.2% 12.9% 10.7% 9.8% 8.3% 7.2% 5.3% 4.6% 2.7% 2.6% 1.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Charlotte Lipschitz 9.7% 8.6% 8.4% 9.4% 7.1% 7.6% 9.0% 7.7% 6.3% 5.8% 6.9% 5.1% 5.4% 1.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Shannon Heausler 11.5% 9.3% 9.2% 10.1% 10.2% 8.8% 8.5% 8.9% 6.1% 5.3% 4.6% 2.6% 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Elizabeth Whipple 5.6% 6.8% 8.2% 8.6% 5.3% 7.9% 7.3% 7.7% 8.6% 7.7% 7.0% 5.5% 6.6% 5.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Briana Provancha 7.8% 8.6% 7.6% 8.3% 8.2% 8.0% 8.8% 7.5% 6.4% 6.9% 7.2% 5.5% 4.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Powers 6.1% 6.5% 9.0% 8.3% 6.9% 8.3% 7.3% 8.2% 7.6% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 5.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.1%
Bethany Leonard 4.9% 5.1% 4.6% 5.1% 5.0% 6.8% 4.7% 6.6% 6.5% 8.3% 7.4% 7.5% 11.8% 10.8% 4.6% 0.3%
Genoa Warner 5.4% 6.2% 6.4% 5.6% 7.6% 6.6% 7.1% 7.2% 7.4% 6.3% 9.1% 7.0% 8.4% 6.6% 3.1% 0.0%
Lauren Burke 4.2% 4.8% 3.8% 4.5% 5.3% 6.6% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 8.4% 8.7% 8.4% 9.2% 9.5% 7.1% 0.4%
Alexandra Arntsen 4.8% 4.6% 4.8% 3.4% 5.1% 5.3% 6.1% 6.8% 6.3% 8.9% 8.7% 11.8% 7.3% 10.4% 5.6% 0.1%
Sara Burke 4.0% 4.0% 3.7% 4.4% 5.4% 4.4% 5.5% 5.4% 6.8% 5.8% 7.3% 9.3% 11.2% 14.0% 8.4% 0.4%
Abby Featherstone 6.7% 7.1% 6.8% 7.4% 8.5% 7.1% 6.3% 5.5% 8.9% 7.7% 6.8% 7.4% 6.5% 5.1% 2.2% 0.0%
Morgan Wilson 6.6% 7.7% 8.6% 7.3% 8.8% 7.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.5% 6.9% 6.4% 5.9% 5.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.0%
Rachel Barch 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 1.6% 2.7% 2.7% 3.1% 5.8% 5.4% 13.4% 51.6% 5.6%
Emily Bick 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 3.4% 92.5%
Emilie Mademann 4.2% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 5.4% 5.4% 7.1% 7.0% 6.2% 10.4% 6.9% 9.1% 8.5% 9.6% 5.1% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.