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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.45vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74-0.04vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-1.54+1.10vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.88-0.49vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.48-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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1.96Fordham University1.740.3%1st Place
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3.95Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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4.51Princeton University-0.880.0%1st Place
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4.03Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 63.1% | 29.5% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 28.7% | 50.8% | 16.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| David Tampellini | 4.1% | 6.6% | 25.0% | 29.1% | 25.3% | 9.9% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.6% | 2.6% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 52.2% |
| Andrew Sun | 1.1% | 5.0% | 15.6% | 24.1% | 28.8% | 25.4% |
| Loren Myers | 2.4% | 5.5% | 27.8% | 28.1% | 23.8% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.