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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.45vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74-0.03vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.93vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.480.00vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.88-0.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.54-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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1.97Fordham University1.740.3%1st Place
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3.93Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.0Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.5Princeton University-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 63.2% | 29.2% | 6.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 28.9% | 49.5% | 17.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 4.1% | 6.5% | 27.1% | 27.4% | 24.3% | 10.6% |
| Loren Myers | 1.9% | 7.7% | 25.4% | 29.4% | 24.5% | 11.1% |
| Andrew Sun | 1.1% | 5.1% | 15.9% | 24.6% | 27.5% | 25.8% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.8% | 2.0% | 7.2% | 14.7% | 22.8% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.