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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.74+1.01vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.58vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.48+0.97vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.03vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.88-0.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.54-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Fordham University1.740.3%1st Place
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1.42SUNY Stony Brook2.590.7%1st Place
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3.97Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.97Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.5Princeton University-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Stapp | 27.0% | 50.8% | 17.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 66.0% | 27.1% | 6.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Loren Myers | 3.2% | 6.8% | 27.1% | 26.9% | 24.8% | 11.2% |
| David Tampellini | 2.2% | 7.8% | 26.2% | 29.3% | 24.1% | 10.4% |
| Andrew Sun | 0.9% | 5.0% | 16.1% | 24.7% | 27.6% | 25.7% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.7% | 2.5% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 22.5% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.