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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.02+4.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.35+2.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine1.71+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.83+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.03+2.95vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-0.59vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+1.23vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.39-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.30-3.08vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.72-3.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.54-4.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-6.77vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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4.37University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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3.54University of California at Irvine1.710.2%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Davis0.830.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
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5.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.1%1st Place
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7.03California State University Channel Islands0.370.1%1st Place
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7.06University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.1%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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9.91Santa Clara University-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.1%1st Place
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7.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Fargo | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 14.9% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 23.3% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Wyant | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 26.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 24.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.