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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+0.63vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.27vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.05+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.36-0.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.87-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63University of Hawaii1.0556.1%1st Place
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2.27University of Hawaii0.1224.5%1st Place
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3.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.057.0%1st Place
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3.93University of California at San Diego-1.365.0%1st Place
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3.58University of California at San Diego-0.877.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 56.1% | 28.8% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 24.5% | 39.3% | 23.4% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Katz | 7.0% | 11.2% | 23.6% | 31.0% | 27.2% |
| Claire Diaco | 5.0% | 8.5% | 17.3% | 26.9% | 42.3% |
| Alex Bussey | 7.4% | 12.1% | 23.8% | 29.0% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.