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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.71+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.83+3.75vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.02+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+3.21vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+1.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.35-2.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.03+0.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.30-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.39-4.02vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37-5.19vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.54-3.26vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.72-3.81vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-6.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of California at Irvine1.710.2%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Davis0.830.1%1st Place
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5.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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5.24University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.1%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Irvine1.350.2%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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6.81California State University Channel Islands0.370.1%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.19Santa Clara University-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Heller | 21.4% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 17.0% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 23.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Wyant | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 29.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.