← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Irvine1.71+2.54vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Davis0.83+3.77vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.53vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine1.35+0.40vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+3.21vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+1.52vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.02-1.83vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+0.21vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-0.79vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.39-2.99vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-2.79vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-0.54-2.35vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands0.37-5.99vs Predicted
-
14Santa Clara University-0.72-4.12vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-0.30-5.89vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis0.03-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.54University of California at Irvine1.710.2%1st Place
-
5.77University of California at Davis0.830.1%1st Place
-
5.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
-
4.4University of California at Irvine1.350.2%1st Place
-
8.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
-
7.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.1%1st Place
-
5.17University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
-
8.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
-
8.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
-
7.01University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
-
8.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
-
9.65University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
-
7.01California State University Channel Islands0.370.1%1st Place
-
9.88Santa Clara University-0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.11University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
-
8.19University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Heller | 22.3% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 16.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Wyant | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 25.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.