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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.71+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.35+2.37vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+4.75vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.83+1.76vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.02-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-0.73vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.37-2.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-2.73vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-0.72-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.39-6.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.30-5.20vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.54-5.26vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.03-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of California at Irvine1.710.2%1st Place
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4.37University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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7.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Davis0.830.1%1st Place
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5.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.02California State University Channel Islands0.370.1%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.06Santa Clara University-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.92University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Heller | 22.0% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 14.6% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Wyant | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 30.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 24.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.