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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.71+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.02+3.22vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+5.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.35+0.36vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.34vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.83-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+0.42vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.03-1.84vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.39-4.04vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-3.58vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.54-3.57vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.30-4.91vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-0.72-4.77vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59University of California at Irvine1.710.2%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Irvine1.350.2%1st Place
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5.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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7.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.1%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Davis0.830.1%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.02California State University Channel Islands0.370.1%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
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6.96University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.23Santa Clara University-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Heller | 21.3% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Wyant | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 31.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.