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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.83+4.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.71+1.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.02+2.29vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.03+2.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.35-1.68vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.02-2.71vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.59vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.02-4.71vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.02-5.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.30-2.93vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.39-6.01vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.72-4.09vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.54-5.26vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7University of California at Davis0.830.1%1st Place
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3.51University of California at Irvine1.710.2%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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7.13California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Davis0.030.0%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Irvine1.350.2%1st Place
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7.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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5.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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9.07University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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6.99University of California at San Diego0.390.1%1st Place
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9.91Santa Clara University-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Baldassare | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 23.4% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jones | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 16.2% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Wyant | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 25.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 19.5% | 23.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.