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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+0.94vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.33+0.33vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.03-0.33vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.42+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.18-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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2.33Boston University1.330.3%1st Place
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2.67Northeastern University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.13Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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3.93University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 43.8% | 30.0% | 16.9% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Campbell | 27.1% | 30.8% | 26.8% | 12.4% | 2.9% |
| Colin Henderson | 19.8% | 24.1% | 31.1% | 19.3% | 5.7% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 28.4% | 49.5% |
| Shane Baker | 5.5% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 32.4% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.