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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+0.25vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-1.36+2.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.51-0.15vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.78-1.34vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.48-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.25Boston University2.840.8%1st Place
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4.49Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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2.85Tufts University0.510.1%1st Place
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2.66Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 79.6% | 16.2% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 1.0% | 3.3% | 8.5% | 20.0% | 67.2% |
| Grace Olsen | 7.7% | 29.5% | 37.7% | 20.5% | 4.6% |
| Minot Frye | 9.0% | 39.5% | 31.3% | 17.1% | 3.1% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.7% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 42.1% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.