← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.05+0.63vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.12+0.29vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-0.87+0.57vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.05-0.42vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.36-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.63University of Hawaii1.0554.3%1st Place
-
2.29University of Hawaii0.1226.2%1st Place
-
3.57University of California at San Diego-0.877.3%1st Place
-
3.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.057.1%1st Place
-
3.94University of California at San Diego-1.365.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 54.3% | 31.7% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 26.2% | 36.2% | 23.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% |
| Alex Bussey | 7.3% | 12.7% | 24.1% | 27.7% | 28.1% |
| Samantha Katz | 7.1% | 11.9% | 23.8% | 30.6% | 26.6% |
| Claire Diaco | 5.0% | 7.4% | 18.0% | 27.5% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.