← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.51vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University2.30+1.20vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University1.75+1.14vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College0.49+1.93vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.20-0.04vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University2.43-2.90vs Predicted
-
7Queen's University1.64-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.51University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
-
3.2Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
-
4.14Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
-
5.93Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
-
4.96Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
-
3.1Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
-
4.16Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 32.5% | 24.8% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Mary Gamber | 17.6% | 20.4% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Joan Boyle | 10.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 9.8% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 54.4% |
| Amanda Tooker | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 26.5% | 22.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 20.8% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Arielle Morgan | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.